[Other factors affected the outcome, of course. The
election was unfolding during perhaps the best political climate Republicans
had seen since the 1980s. Upheaval on the domestic and international stage — a crash of the health care website, beheadings
in the Middle East, a surge of migrant children along the Mexican border and a raging virus in
Africa — all helped tip the scales in Republicans’ favor. Democrats battled to
keep the most competitive races from slipping away from them until the very
last minute, an almost impossible task given President Obama’s low approval
ratings and the cascade of bad news that was unimaginable when the party was
riding high a year ago, after Republicans stumbled through a government
shutdown.]
A worker in the election “war room” at the Republican NationalCommittee office in Credit Doug Mills/The New York Times |
And Chris
McDaniel, a Senate candidate from Mississippi who had a history of making sexist and racially insensitive
remarks, was a problem.
Candidates
like Scott Brown, running for the Senate in New Hampshire , called the National Republican Senatorial Committee to
complain that if Mr. McDaniel was not stopped, he could drag the whole party
down. Strategists inside the committee’s headquarters on Capitol Hill were
envisioning nightmares of Democrats caricaturing all their candidates as
“mini-McDaniels.”
The
committee’s executive director, Rob Collins, dragged complacent donors into the
effort, playing recordings for them of some of Mr. McDaniel’s most incendiary
remarks and persuading them to underwrite a massive get-out-the-vote effort to
defeat him.
In
June, the party establishment — just barely — vanquished Mr. McDaniel, reaching a turning
point in their dogged campaign to purge the party of extremists and regain
power in the Senate.
Republicans’ impressive
showing Tuesday night — marking the first time the party will have a majority
in both the House and Senate since 2006 — was the result of methodical
plotting, careful candidate vetting and abundant preparation to ensure that the
party’s candidates would avoid repeating the same devastating mistakes that
cost them dearly in 2010 and 2012.
“You get
your best players on the field in November, avoid doing something that makes us
look like we are not adult enough to govern, and hope the wave is big,” said
Senator Mitch
McConnell in an
interview in March, not long after Republicans scored a major coup by getting
Cory Gardner, a congressman from Colorado and one of the party’s strongest
candidates this election, into the race.
In
interviews, more than two dozen lawmakers and strategists described the
meticulous efforts.
Little
was left to chance: Republican operatives sent fake campaign trackers — interns
and staff members brandishing video cameras to record every utterance and move
— to trail their own candidates. In media training sessions, candidates were
forced to sit through a reel of the most self-destructive moments of 2012, when Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock’s comments on rape and
pregnancy helped sink the party.
Other
factors affected the outcome, of course. The election was unfolding during
perhaps the best political climate Republicans had seen since the 1980s.
Upheaval on the domestic and international stage — a crash of the health care website, beheadings
in the Middle East, a surge of migrant children along the Mexican border and a raging virus in
Africa — all helped tip the scales in Republicans’ favor. Democrats battled to
keep the most competitive races from slipping away from them until the very
last minute, an almost impossible task given President Obama’s low approval
ratings and the cascade of bad news that was unimaginable when the party was
riding high a year ago, after Republicans stumbled through a government
shutdown.
“There wasn’t a moment this cycle where we thought, ‘Oh,
we can’t lose,’ ” said Guy Cecil, executive director of the Democratic
Senatorial Campaign Committee. “Conversely, there wasn’t a moment in this cycle
where we thought we couldn’t win," he added, insisting that their plan was
the right one. “Election outcomes tend to declare everyone either a genius or a
failure, but there’s no question in my mind that this was the right strategy.”
Democratic
Discontent
Tensions
between the Democratic Senate candidates and the president kept bubbling up
throughout the campaign. It did not help that the Democrats defending their
seats felt that Mr. Obama had refused to come to terms with how damaged his
political brand had become in their states, and how perilous his embrace was.
When he delivered a speech last month at Northwestern University and declared that his policies were “on the ballot”
alongside the candidates who were trying desperately to distance themselves
from him, it infuriated Democrats. The White House had shared the general
outline of that speech with Senate Democrats beforehand, but never mentioned
that line despite its obvious political consequences. (By the end of the
campaign, the quote of the president saying his policies were on the ballot had appeared in television ads in nearly every competitive Senate
race, from North
Carolina to Arkansas to Colorado .)
Further
marring the relationship between the White House and Senate Democrats was the
issue of fund-raising. Obama administration officials resisted getting too
involved in helping the “super PAC”
that former aides to Harry Reid, the majority leader, had set up to try to defend the party’s Senate seats. (Mr. Obama’s aides say he dislikes the
work of PACs on principle.) In a tense meeting between supporters of Mr. Reid’s
and White House staff over the summer, Mr. Reid’s allies sardonically reminded
the president’s staff that they were not so reticent about working on behalf of
the super PAC supporting Mr. Obama in 2012.
Mr.
Obama even balked at dipping into the Democratic National Committee’s coffers
to help Senate Democrats. Mr. Reid was so exasperated by what he saw as the
president’s foot-dragging that during a phone call with Mr. Obama to discuss
unrelated issues, he ended the conversation by saying, “Thank you very much Mr.
President, but all we want is our money,” two people familiar with the
conversation recalled.
There
were policy conflicts as well. Democrats were incensed that the administration
was so openly discussing taking unilateral action to pardon many undocumented
immigrants, which they worried would inflame the issue and drive independent
voters away. After hearing personally from several Democratic senators who were
upset, the White House asked the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in
late summer for its polling data.
What they turned over was alarming. In Iowa , a state that was slipping out of Democrats’ grasp, only
39 percent of people backed the president’s plan. By September, when Mr. Obama
decided to delay his executive action until after the elections, the damage
had already been done. With problems in the Middle East
boiling over and the Ebola virus reaching the United States , voters’ confidence in the president’s leadership had
plummeted.
Republican Revival
Even
though the geography and historic trends favored Republicans this year, it was
hard to find optimism among party loyalists and donors as 2014 began, given how
badly 2010 and 2012 had gone.
“Most Republican activists were discouraged by lack of
success in past election cycles,” acknowledged Senator Jerry Moran of Kansas , chairman of the National Republican Senatorial
Committee. “The number of people you had to talk to who needed to be convinced
that it made any sense to support the cause was huge. We started with a very challenging
environment in which people were just disillusioned.”
But after a string a Democratic retirements — among them, Senator Tom Harkin of Iowa — and the recruitment of strong
candidates like Mr. Gardner in Colorado and Mr. Brown in New Hampshire , the party began to rebuild credibility.
Party
leaders managed to elbow aside insurgents like Mr. McDaniel and Liz Cheney, the daughter of former Vice
President Dick Cheney, who planned to challenge Senator Michael B. Enzi of Wyoming on the grounds that he was insufficiently conservative.
Of
course, the aggressive effort of the party’s establishment set off resentment.
Republican senators recalled how an angry Mr. Cheney would call them to
complain when someone disparaged his daughter.
And
there were moments when Republicans’ gains felt like they could be slipping
away. Mr. McConnell was rattled late last month when the Democrats went into Kentucky with a surprise last-minute ad buy against him. He took
the threat so seriously, one adviser said, that as he rode around the state in
the back of a campaign S.U.V. he started scouring his own Federal Election
Commission reports in search of donors who had not yet given the maximum legal
amount.
But in
the end, the disciplined approach worked: no Republican imploded with the kind
of fatal campaign gaffe that crushed the party’s hopes in the last two
elections. Every establish candidate prevailed in the primaries. Republicans
credited this to their rigorous training program. The fake trackers would even
surprise candidates at the curb outside the airport when they flew into Washington to meet with National Republican Senatorial Committee
officials, who then forced candidates to sit down and watch themselves on film.
“We
don’t teach them what to believe,” said Mr. Collins, the committee’s executive
director. “We just teach them how to talk, how to say things once the camera is
on them.”
Mr.
Collins found it hard to persuade members of his party that this campaign could
lead not only to them winning some seats, but to retaking the majority.
There
was the time he gave an upbeat address to a room full of Republican senators at
Palm Beach ’s majestic Breakers resort in February 2013, right after
President Obama took the oath of office for a second time and Democrats were
basking in their comfortable majority. But the senators, like Rob Portman of Ohio and Mr. Moran of Kansas , both of whom would become deeply involved in
Republicans’ 2014 campaign, told Mr. Collins afterward that he might want to
tone it down.
“Our
general approach had been to underpromise and overperform,” Mr. Portman said in
an interview a few days before Election Day.
Then
there was a meeting of Republican leadership in the Capitol a few weeks later
where Mr. Collins heard the same reticence. What he did not tell them at the
time was that he had just printed 10,000 copies of a glossy magazine-size
pamphlet that said on its crimson cover “Majority.”
He had
the period added for emphasis.