[If North Korea suspends its nuclear and missile activities, then Moon would ask the United States to scale back its joint military exercises with South Korea , Moon Chung-in, the president’s special adviser for unification, foreign and security affairs, said at the Wilson Center .]
By Anna Fifield
South
Korean President Moon Jae-in, shown on a large screen, delivers
a
speech at the National Assembly in Seou on June 12. (Pool/Reuters)
|
Instead,
Moon Jae-in will be going to the White House for what is shaping up to be a
challenging summit, with the leaders taking sharply different approaches to
dealing with North Korea and a continuing disagreement over an American
antimissile system deployed to South Korea.
“The
summit should really be about drawing the big picture, but instead they will be
focusing on areas of potential friction,” said James Kim, a specialist in U.S.-South
Korea relations at the Asan Institute for Policy Studies in Seoul . “A lot will hinge on how the two leaders
get along and the chemistry between them.”
Moon,
a liberal who was elected president in a landslide in May following the
impeachment of conservative Park Geun-hye amid a bribery scandal, has been
doing his best to appear conciliatory in the lead-up to the summit.
“President
Trump and I have a common goal — that is the complete dismantlement of North Korea ’s nuclear program and the denuclearization
of the Korean Peninsula ,” he told The Washington Post’s Lally
Weymouth in an interview last week. “I hope we will be able to show the world
that the collaboration between our two countries is strong and will continue to
grow stronger.”
But
his message was muddied when one of his top advisers delivered a very different
statement in Washington .
If
North
Korea
suspends its nuclear and missile activities, then Moon would ask the United States to scale back its joint military exercises
with South
Korea ,
Moon Chung-in, the president’s special adviser for unification, foreign and
security affairs, said at the Wilson Center .
“I
think what he has in mind is, you know, we may scale down deployment of
American strategic weapons over the Korean Peninsula ,” the adviser said.
Moon
is a proponent of the “sunshine policy” of engagement with North Korea , named after the Aesop fable in which the
wind and the sun compete to make a traveler take off his coat. The sun gently
warms the traveler and succeeds, the moral of the fable being that gentle
persuasion works better than force.
The
policy was championed by former president Kim Dae-jung and continued by fellow
progressive Roh Moo-hyun, whom Moon served as chief of staff.
Kim’s
2001 summit with President George W. Bush was widely considered a disaster, not
least because of their sharply divergent views on dealing with North Korea . Kim had been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize
the year before for holding the first inter-Korean summit — with then-North
Korean leader Kim Jong Il — but Bush criticized this approach during their
summit, rejecting any prospect of returning to talks with Pyongyang.
Moon
has been espousing cooperation and engagement with North Korea , saying this month on the 17th anniversary
of that inter-Korean summit that he was prepared to talk to Pyongyang if it stopped its nuclear tests and missile
launches, but without other conditions
On
Saturday, Moon suggested there should be a unified Korean team for the Winter
Olympics in South Korea next year. He also wants to reopen an inter-Korean
industrial park where North Koreans work in Southern-owned factories on their
northern side of the border — even if it would violate international sanctions.
Although
Trump has talked about meeting Kim Jong Un, the leader of North Korea , his administration has espoused a policy of
“maximum pressure” on Pyongyang to make it give up its nuclear weapons program. It has been
imposing new sanctions on North Korean leaders and warning that military action
is one option for reining in the regime.
This
pressure is likely only to increase with the death last week of Otto Warmbier, an
Ohio man who was detained in North Korea for 17 months, 15 of which he spent in a
coma.
The
other key issue for the summit will be the Terminal High Altitude Air Defense
system, or THAAD, which the Park administration agreed to deploy in South Korea to help guard against the North Korean
threat. With Moon campaigning on a platform to review that agreement, the U.S. military rushed to get the radar system and
two launchers in place before he was elected.
Since
his election, Moon has expressed shock that four more launchers were brought to
South Korea without his knowledge — even though a full antimissile battery
comprises six launchers — and has ordered the deployment to be suspended while
his government carries out an environmental review.
The
system remains highly controversial in Seongju, the southern area where it is
deployed.
“THAAD
has turned our tranquil village upside down,” said Do Geum-nyon, an 81-year-old
woman who was protesting last week.
“I
can’t focus on my farming because I also have to come out to keep watch over
the Americans,” she told the Yonhap News Agency.
The
United States considers the deal an issue at the heart of the two countries’ 70-year-old
military alliance, and analysts are warning of severe damage to relations if
the Moon administration reverses the decision to deploy a missile battery aimed
at keeping South Korea — as well as the United States and Japan, its other ally
in the region — safe.
The
Trump administration has not yet nominated an ambassador to South Korea , although Victor Cha, who served on the
National Security Council during the Bush administration, is thought to be the
front-runner for the post.
In
many ways, the fact that a summit can take place at all is progress.
South
Koreans felt aggrieved this year when Trump called Xi and Abe — but not their
acting president — over one of North Korea ’s provocations.
Now,
despite their political and policy differences, much will depend on how Trump, who
places a premium on personal rapport, and Moon get along.
With
this in mind, the Moon administration has sent emissaries to Washington to learn how Abe got into Trump’s good
graces and to discover the pitfalls he needs to avoid.
“They
know if Trump thinks you’re a good guy, he will listen to you, but if he thinks
you’re a bad guy, there’s no argument you can make to win him over,” said one
Washington think tank expert who was consulted by Hong Seok-hyun, Moon’s
special envoy to the United States. “They want Moon to make a good first
impression and get off on the right foot with him.”
One
of Moon’s aides has suggested that the pair will get along well. “Trump doesn’t
like flamboyant characters like himself,” he said on the condition of anonymity
to discuss his boss. “They are yin and yang.”
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