[But
terrorism researchers caution that attacks happen year-round and that there is
little systematic evidence that they become more common during Ramadan. And it
is almost impossible to tell what role the month plays in the thinking of
individual attackers.]
By Ben Hubbard
The
spokesman for the Islamic State said in late May that jihadists should “make it,
with God’s permission, a month of pain for infidels everywhere.” Another
extremist distributed a manual for using poisons, adding, in poor English: “Dont
forget Ramadan is close, the month of victories.”
A
bloody month it has been, with terrorist attacks killing and wounding hundreds
of people in Orlando , Fla. ; Istanbul ; Dhaka , Bangladesh ; and nowBaghdad, where a bomb killed more
than 140 people early Sunday in a shopping area full of families who had just
broken their Ramadan fasts.
For
the vast majority of the world’s Muslims, violence is completely dissonant with
the holy month, which in addition to fasting is a time for spiritual renewal, prayer
and visits with friends and family.
It
is widely believed that the rewards earned for noble acts are greater during
Ramadan, which culminates in the Eid holiday this week. Jihadists have
perverted this belief to serve their own ends, analysts said.
In
short: If one believes it is good to kill those who are considered infidels, all
the better to do so during Ramadan.
“There
is no doubt in my mind that Al Qaeda, its various affiliates, and nowISIS use
Ramadan as a watershed, as a marker to inspire and motivate their followers and
supporters worldwide,” said Fawaz A. Gerges, a professor at the London School
of Economics who has written books on jihad.
While
not all of them may have been carried out with Ramadan in mind, the month has
seen a stunning array of attacks.
A
gunman opened fire in a nightclub in Orlando , killing 49.
A
suicide attack on an army post in Jordan killed seven soldiers.
Suicide
bombers killed dozens of civilians in Mukalla , Yemen , and in aChristian village in Lebanon , on the same day.
The
next day, attackers struck Istanbul ’s Ataturk airport, killing at least 41.
In
the occupied West
Bank , Palestinian
assailants killed two Israeli civiliansover two days: stabbing a 13-year-old
girl while she was asleep in her home in a Jewish settlement and gunning down a
man on the road.
On
Friday, gunmen stormed a restaurant in Dhaka ’s diplomatic quarter, letting some Muslims
escape but killing at least 22, most of them foreigners.
And
on Sunday, a bombing took more than 80 lives in Baghdad .
The
Islamic State has claimed responsibility for many of the attacks and is the
prime suspect in others. A large share of the victims have been Muslims, belying
the Islamic State’s claim to be the defender of their faith.
“We
were happy and preparing to break the last day of the fasting month very soon
and to celebrate Eid, but our feelings have been stained with blood,” said Hadi
al-Jumaili, a shopkeeper who was hit with flying glass in the attack in Baghdad .
Last
year, too, saw many large Ramadan attacks, hitting a Tunisian beach resort, a
Shiite mosque in Kuwait , a Kurdish town in northern Syria and African Union troops in Somalia .
But
terrorism researchers caution that attacks happen year-round and that there is
little systematic evidence that they become more common during Ramadan. And it
is almost impossible to tell what role the month plays in the thinking of
individual attackers.
What
is clearer is that the manipulation of the goals of Ramadan are another way in
which jihadists have interpreted the religion in a way most Muslims deplore. Another
example is the jihadists’ wide use of takfir, or the branding of others as
infidels who deserve death. The Islamic State has used this concept to justify
the killing of other Muslims, be they Shiites or fellow Sunnis whom the group
deems to be insufficiently devout.
Such
views course through the jihadists’ Ramadan propaganda.
In
an audio message released before the month began, Abu Muhammed al-Adnani, the
Islamic State spokesman, urged the group’s followers to launch attacks in the
West during Ramadan in retaliation for strikes by a United States-led coalition
in the group’s central territories in Syria and Iraq .
“Know
that in the heart of the lands of the Crusaders there is no protection for that
blood, and there is no presence of so-called civilians,” he said.
Jihadists
should act, he said, “so that perhaps you will gain the great reward for
martyrdom in Ramadan.”
Other
propagandists reached back into Islamic history to compare the modern jihadist
struggle with the Battle of Badr, a famous Ramadan victory mentioned in the
Quran in which the Prophet Muhammad and his forces routed their enemies in
Mecca. Some drew links between those forces andOmar Mateen, the Orlando gunman.
“In
Islamic history, Ramadan is a reminder to Muslims of who they are, separating
the faithful from the non-faithful,” Professor Gerges said. “But what ISIS and
Al Qaeda have done to great effect is to focus on the war spirit and offensive
spirit rather than on the moral spirit.”
The
recent spate of attacks could be less about Ramadan than about the Islamic
State’s desire to project strength as it loses territory. In Iraq , it recently lost control of Ramadi and was
pushed out of Falluja last month — a humiliating Ramadan defeat.
Since
those losses undermine the jihadists’ claim to have a powerful state with its
own territory, high-profile attacks abroad serve as “force multipliers, because
they divert attention from what is happening in Iraq and Syria ,” Mr. Gerges said.
The
jihadists’ focus on violence during the holy month stirs revulsion among most
Muslims, who see it as a time of intensified spirituality and increased
religious activity, said Jonathan A. C. Brown, a professor of Islamic
civilization at Georgetown University .
This
often means more time spent in prayer, at the mosque or reading the Quran, in
addition to the dawn-to-dusk fast that is among the primary requirements of
observant Muslims. Even many secular Muslims fast or pursue good works
throughout Ramadan.
“If
you do your fast well and it is received, there is a huge reward you get in the
afterlife,” Dr. Brown said.
Underlying
much Ramadan activity is a sense that the rewards for good deeds are greater
during the holy month, even for acts as small as smiling at someone, Mr. Brown
said.
Muslims
are to give contributions to charity equaling the cost of one meal at the end of
the month, and many also give their required alms for the year during Ramadan, making
it an active time for thinking about the poor. Many Muslim communities also
hold Ramadan fund-raising drives for charitable causes.
There
is also a belief that the devils who normally tempt people to sin are “chained
up,” during Ramadan, making it easier for Muslims to be good, as they have to
face only their own temptations.
“This
is a time to improve yourself and not to swear, not to have arguments — and you
have a leg up now,” Mr. Brown said. “That means that people who do these
attacks only have themselves to blame. They can’t blame the devil.”
Omar
Al-Jawoshy contributed reporting from Baghdad .