December 26, 2014

IS INDIA’S COUNTRY-WIDE TAX A ‘GAME-CHANGER’ FOR BUSINESS?

[India’s recent economic growth has largely come from the boom in services like information technology, but it contributes only a tiny fraction to what is still a predominantly farm-dominated economy. Industrial manufacturing contributes about 16 percent of India’s economic output. The government wants to raise it to 25 percent, and create 100 million new jobs by 2022, a tall order in the current regulatory environment.]
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By Rama Lakshmi
Trucks line up outside the Khanauri border between Haryana and Punjab states in India.
More than 1,500 trucks stop here every day for several hours, waiting at check
posts to pay state government levies and deal with regulatory
bureaucracies. (Rama Lakshmi/
TWP)
Khanauri, INDIA On a recent foggy winter morning, the line of truck drivers stretched for miles at Khanauri, a northern Indian state border checkpoint. The drivers had been traveling for days carrying factory goods across India. But the arduous journey on bumpy, overcrowded Indian roads is not their biggest problem, they say. It is long waits and laborious paperwork at regulatory checkpoints like this one — where more than 1,500 trucks stop for hours every day — that add significantly to the cost of doing business in India.

“The factory managers keep calling us anxiously with the same questions: “Where have you reached, where are you stuck?” said Dinesh Kumar, 35, a truck driver carrying yarn from a factory in the western state of Gujarat to a blanket-making factory in Punjab.

Two-thirds of India’s freight travels by road. But only 40 percent of the travel time is spent driving, according to the World Bank. The rest is waiting at state border checkpoints, paying state government levies and dealing with regulatory bureaucracies that vary from state to state.

Aiming to break this crippling business barrier, India’s finance minister Arun Jaitley last week introduced new legislation in Parliament for a single goods and services tax that will subsume the complex maze of nearly 20 different taxes and levies imposed on commodities by different states. The G.S.T., as it is known, is one of the most ambitious economic reform measures of the past decade and a dramatic step toward making it easier to do business in India, a top priority for the current government, officials say.

India’s recent economic growth has largely come from the boom in services like information technology, but it contributes only a tiny fraction to what is still a predominantly farm-dominated economy. Industrial manufacturing contributes about 16 percent of India’s economic output. The government wants to raise it to 25 percent, and create 100 million new jobs by 2022, a tall order in the current regulatory environment.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who came to power in May promising to revive Asia’s third largest economy, recently launched an ambitious “Make in India” campaign to boost manufacturing and exports similar to the growth of manufacturing in China in the past two to three decades.

Yet challenges remain. Despite the arrival of a new, business-friendly government, India slipped to 142 among 189 countries on the ease of doing business index, this year, according to the World Bank. Last year, India was ranked 134.

And the logistical cost of manufacturing in India is seven times higher than international benchmarks, says the World Bank.

Dennis Medvedev, senior country economist of the World Bank in India, called the unified goods and services tax a “game-changing economic reform” that can reduce freight time by 30 to 40 percent and add about 2 percent to the nation’s economic output in the next five years.

“It removes the element of uncertainty in the business cycle for Indian manufacturing,” Medvedev said.

At checkpoints like Khanauri, the need for reform is all too visible. Anxious drivers stand in long lines while their assistants guard the trucks and pass the time by keeping themselves warm over fires and drinking endless cups of milky tea.

“I have been waiting for six hours here already,” said Lakshman Singh, 38, a truck driver carrying chemicals. “There is only one counter, and the line is too long. They say they have not received the information from the previous checkpost about the passage of my truck. That’s not my fault. Two weeks ago their Internet connection was down for 36 hours. Imagine how it affected business.”

The frequent truck stops for regulatory checks also create “more opportunities for harassment and bribe-taking by corrupt officials on some pretext or the other," said Rajev N. Gupta, co-founder of Caravan Roadways, a transportation company.

Last year, the automobile manufacturer Maruti Suzuki told its vendors to buy plots closer to the factory to cut logistics time and cost.


But, if a single, rationalized tax system becomes a reality, “businesses can hope to maintain lighter inventories and adopt efficient Japanese-style just-in-time manufacturing methods in India, too,” said Devesh Kapur, director of the Center for the Advanced Study of India at University of Pennsylvania.

This is not the first time the G.S.T. bill has been introduced in Parliament. The proposal got stuck several times in the past and missed several deadlines because the state governments feared losing their freedom to impose levies and raise revenue.

The industrially prosperous southern state of Tamil Nadu and the eastern state of West Bengal have cautioned Jaitley, the finance minister, against rushing the reform measure.

In a letter to Modi, the chief minister of Tamil Nadu, O. Panneerselvam, said the measure will have far-reaching implication for the fiscal autonomy of states. “The center must ensure that the states’ fears are allayed and true consensus is achieved before such a far-reaching reform is attempted,” he said.

To make the implementation more palatable, Jaitley assured the states that the national government will “compensate them for any loss” for five years.

But one business analyst said, on the condition of anonymity, “if the implementation is handled badly and the states suffer loss, it could break the country’s unity.”

The bill, which requires an amendment to the nation’s constitution, will likely be taken up for discussion and voting in the next Parliament session in February and has to be passed by two-thirds of lawmakers. Then it must be approved by at least half of the state legislatures. Jaitley said he expects the implementation to begin in 2016.

At Khanauri, the word is out that business-as-usual will soon come to an end.

“Once the new law comes, long lines will be history,” said Sanjeev Puri, the excise and tax inspector at Khanauri. “State borders and checkpoints may melt away and become irrelevant. India will be one seamless market. It will be a very different world then.”

Rama Lakshmi has been with The Post's India bureau since 1990. She is a staff writer and India social media editor for Post World.