[While
the Paris agreement aims to reduce the use of coal and oil, which produce the
carbon dioxide emissions that are the chief cause of global warming, negotiators
in Vienna pushed ahead on a deal to ban the use of hydrofluorocarbons, chemicals
used in air-conditioners and refrigerators. Although they contribute only a
small percentage of the world’s greenhouse gases, these chemicals, known as
HFCs, can trap heat in the atmosphere at levels a thousand times higher than
carbon dioxide can, according to published scientific studies.]
By
Coral Davenport
WASHINGTON
— When negotiators from nearly 200 countries gathered outside Paris in December
for the United Nations summit meeting on climate change, they reached the first
agreement to take action on curbing their planet-warming pollution.
This
weekend in Vienna , with far less attention, negotiators from
those same countries neared a deal that many environmentalists have called the
most significant action this year to reduce global warming.
While
the Paris agreement aims to reduce the use of coal and oil, which produce the
carbon dioxide emissions that are the chief cause of global warming, negotiators
in Vienna pushed ahead on a deal to ban the use of hydrofluorocarbons, chemicals
used in air-conditioners and refrigerators. Although they contribute only a small
percentage of the world’s greenhouse gases, these chemicals, known as HFCs, can
trap heat in the atmosphere at levels a thousand times higher than carbon
dioxide can, according to published scientific studies.
Negotiations
to ban HFCs have dragged on for seven years. But the draft language emerging
from the Vienna talks could lead to a final deal ready to be
signed during an October conference in Kigali , Rwanda .
The
deal would be an amendment to the Montreal Protocol, the landmark 1989
environmental treaty designed to close the hole in the ozone layer by banning
ozone-depleting coolants called chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs.
In
response, chemical companies developed HFCs, which do not harm the ozone. But
the substitute had the wholly unexpected side effect of increasing heat trapped
in the atmosphere, which worsened climate change.
The
Montreal treaty allows nations to amend it to ban
substitute chemicals that have negative environmental effects even if they do
not harm the ozone. And American chemical companies such as Dow, DuPont and Honeywell
have already begun to patent climate-friendly HFC substitutes.
Scientists
estimate that an increase in average global temperatures of three degrees
Fahrenheit could tip the planet into a dangerous future of rising sea levels, devastating
droughts, extreme storms and shortages of food and water. Studies show that
banning HFCs worldwide could prevent an increase of nearly one degree over the
next century.
“Amending
the Montreal Protocol to phase down HFCs is one of the single most important
unitary steps that we could possibly take at this moment to stave off the worst
impacts of climate change and to protect the future for people in every single
corner of the globe,” Secretary of State John Kerry said in a speech to negotiators
in Vienna on Friday.
As
diplomats worked on drafting the amendment, scientists at NASA announced this
past week that 2016 was on track to be the hottest year on record, with 2015
and 2014 ranking second and third.
An
amendment to the Montreal Protocol would have the force of law in almost every
country, which could give it more potency than the Paris Agreement, a legal
hybrid that lacks the binding force of a treaty. While some portions of the
Paris Agreement are legally binding, the specific actions taken by countries to
reduce their emissions are voluntary. And there are already questions about
whether some countries will follow through on their Paris pledges.
In
Brazil , the impeachment proceedings against
President Dilma Rousseff have thrown the fate of her Paris promise into question. Rodrigo Duterte, the
new president of the Philippines , said this month that he would not honor the
Paris agreement. And in the United States , Donald J. Trump, the Republican
presidential nominee, has vowed to “cancel” the Paris accord.
Most
countries support some form of a deal to phase out HFCs, but some with
developing economies, led by India , are pushing for a slow timeline. While the United States wants a deal that would phase out production
of the chemicals in five years, Indian diplomats are pushing for 15. They say
the costs of new substitute coolants will disproportionately affect the
residents of developing countries in warm climates, where the use of air
conditioning is expected to soar in coming decades.
“An
earlier date would impose economy wide costs on India ,” said Arunabha Ghosh, the chief executive
of the Council on Energy, Environment and Water in New Delhi . “The cost of alternative refrigerants are
eight to 10 times what is available.”
President
Obama, who has sought to make climate change prevention a cornerstone of his
legacy, has spoken at length with Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India about
reaching a deal, and Mr. Kerry flew to Vienna on Friday to personally engage in
the negotiations. In his speech on Friday, he pledged that a final deal would
include assistance from rich countries to help poorer ones deal with the cost
of transitioning to the new chemicals, although he did not specify a dollar
amount.
Final
details of timing and financial aid are expected to be established at the
October meeting in Kigali .
Many
large American chemical companies are pushing hard for the amendment. Final
passage of the deal could create a new market for their coolants in
refrigerators and air-conditioners around the world.
“Our
member companies pushed for this amendment for years,” said Francis Dietz, a
vice president of the Air-Conditioning, Heating and Refrigeration Institute, a
lobbying group. “It’s sort of unusual for industry to spend a lot of time
trying to get regulated. But we knew regulations of HFCs were coming down the
pike, and we’re ready.”
Honeywell,
the New Jersey-based multinational company that produces everything from
aerospace systems to home thermostats, has already invested $900 million in
developing and patenting an HFC substitute, now being made in two recently
built plants in Baton Rouge, La. A third plant in Louisiana is planned for next year, in anticipation of
a booming demand for the products after passage of the Montreal Protocol
amendment.
“We
began developing replacements for HFCs years ago,” said Ken Gayer, a vice
president with Honeywell. Mr. Gayer said the company was already planning to
make the new cooling products in India and China .
The
deal’s support from major businesses has blunted much of the criticism that
many Republicans in the United States typically bring to debates about efforts
to control global warming. Obama administration officials have pointed out that
the Montreal Protocol itself, which was largely negotiated by President Ronald
Reagan, has long enjoyed bipartisan support. Those circumstances, and the
relatively low profile of the Vienna talks, appear to have kept the HFC amendment
out of the political fray that often surrounds climate change policy.
Gina
McCarthy, the Environmental Protection Agency administrator, who has led the United States delegation in Vienna , noted the change.
“It’s
very different from the Paris climate meetings,” she said. “It’s not been the same political
dynamics as in that world.”