November 9, 2014

MODI RESHUFFLE MESSAGE: 'PROVE YOURSELF, THIS IS NOT YOUR FATHER'S GOVT'

[1) Modi will run his government almost like a presidency, picking and choosing the people who will deliver for him and the country. The primacy of the Prime Minister has been re-established after 25 years of weak leadership and coalition compromises that often failed (under VP Singh, Deve Gowda, IK Gujral) or underdelivered (Manmohan Singh).]



Narendra Modi doesn't even waste a Sunday on frivolity. Otherwise, he could well have done his cabinet expansion - a substantial one that expands his ministry by a third with the induction of four cabinet ministers, and 17 ministers of state, three with independent charge— on a week day. The subtle message is this: government works 24x7.

But beyond this, five strong messages underlie this expansion that comes just before he sets off on another round of foreign tours and hectic bouts of electioneering.

1) Modi will run his government almost like a presidency, picking and choosing the people who will deliver for him and the country. The primacy of the Prime Minister has been re-established after 25 years of weak leadership and coalition compromises that often failed (under VP Singh, Deve Gowda, IK Gujral) or underdelivered (Manmohan Singh).

2) A strong message has been sent to allies who think alliances are only about the loaves and fishes of office. Vajpayee could not prevent Bal Thackeray from ousting the competent Suresh Prabhu and inserting a party hack, Anant Geete, into the central ministry. Modi, by appointing Prabhu as cabinet minister over the Sena's protestations, has told Uddhav Thackeray: this is not your father's government. The broader message to all allies is this: if you want to join the government to work, you are welcome. If you think it is about pressuring Modi for ATM ministries, forget it.

It is worth recalling that Manmohan Singh did not want A Raja in his 2009 ministry, but Sonia Gandhi buckled under DMK pressure and MMS got Raja and the 2G scam for failing to put his foot down. Modi's firmness with the Sena must be seen as an important corrective where mere Lok Sabha numbers should not give allies the right to override collective responsibility and the PM's prerogatives.

3) There is a bigger wow factor to this reshuffle than Modi's first ministerial attempt. Manohar Parrikar, Suresh Prabhu, Rajiv Pratap Rudy and Jayant Sinha are not normal politicians, but people with a track record and who have something to contribute. Ask not what America can do for you, ask what you can do for America, said John F Kennedy. Modi's message to ministerial hopefuls and India in general is the same: show me what you are capable of and I may have something for you. And those who didn't get berths have been repeatedly told: find out how you can contribute to the party and build it in your constituency. He is throwing a challenge to all partymen and allies: prove yourself.

4) This expansion is as much about politics as performance. Modi has brought in ministers from Bihar, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh, and Dalit faces from two places. This keeps the elections due in 2015, 2016 and 2017 in Bihar, Bengal and UP in focus. The Dalit minister from Punjab is a signal to the Akalis that the party could go it alone if they don't shape up. In Haryana, the BJP won with the support of the Dera Sacha Sauda, which has strong support among the backward and scheduled castes. Modi is widening the base of the BJP beyond the upper and middle castes and classes. He is planning for the long term.


5) The cabinet changes also imply that Modi is firmly in control of the government and the party, and the allies too are being told to align with his objectives or get out of his way.